Every sports betting pick ThetaWire has made — graded against final scores. Last 90 days.
Record
59–51–4
216 bets tracked
Win Rate
54%
110 graded
Units Wagered
168u
avg 1.5u / bet
Units P/L
+14u
net profit/loss
Updated Jul 10, 2026, 09:56 AM EDT
| Date | Matchup / Bet | Type | Units | Outcome | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 (-118) FanDuel Market no-vig probability on Knicks -1.5 cover is approximately 52%, while Mitch… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies Over 12.0 (-114) FanDuel Market no-vig probability on Over 12.0 is approximately 51.5% at FanDuel, while … | Total O | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics Under 14.5 (-108) DraftKings Market no-vig probability on Under 14.5 is approximately 51.9% (juice -108 impli… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | St. Louis Cardinals +115 (BetMGM) Market no-vig away probability (Cardinals) is approximately 47.6% at FanDuel (+1… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | Cleveland Guardians ML (-112) — New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians Market no-vig home probability for Cleveland is 51.9% — near a coin flip — despi… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | Texas Rangers/Kansas City Royals Under 9.5 (+100) — Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals The games_today data explicitly flags a half-run total discrepancy: FanDuel pric… | Total U | 1u | -90.0 pts | WIN | +1u |
| Jun 10 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 (-104) — San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks [FanDuel line] As a complementary hedge to the Knicks ML pick: if Victor Wembanyama is confirme… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 10 | New York Knicks ML (-130) — San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Market no-vig home probability is 54.3% (implied by -130 ML), but Victor Wembany… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 7 | Baltimore Orioles +118 (Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays) Market no-vig implies 43.9% for Baltimore at +116 to +118; I estimate 48% true p… | Spread | 1u | +116.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Jun 7 | Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Under 9.5 (-108) Market sets total at 9.5 with Under priced at -108 to -115; I estimate true prob… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 7 | Boston Red Sox +141 (-141 implied) Market implies 37.1% no-vig probability for Boston; I estimate 44% true probabil… | Spread | 2u | +136.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 7 | Athletics -110 (Athletics @ Houston Astros) Market no-vig implies 47.6% for the Athletics (road team) at -108 to -110; I est… | Spread | 2u | -105.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| Jun 7 | Cincinnati Reds +115 (Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals) Market no-vig probability has the Cardinals at 54.3% and the Reds at 45.7%; I es… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 7 | Boston Red Sox +141 (Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees) Market no-vig probability implies Yankees win at 60.0%; I estimate true Yankees … | Spread | 2u | +136.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 7 | Detroit Tigers +100 (Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers) Market no-vig implied probability on the Mariners is 54.9% vs. the Tigers at 47.… | Spread | 2u | +101.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 7 | Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.0 (-105) Market total of 8.0 with the Under priced at -105 on DraftKings implies roughly … | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 6 | Toronto Blue Jays -108 (Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays) Market's no-vig home win probability for Toronto is exactly 50.0% — a true coin … | Spread | 1u | -106.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Jun 6 | Athletics -106 (Athletics @ Houston Astros) Market's no-vig home win probability for Houston is 50.4% — essentially a coin f… | Spread | 1u | -117.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Jun 6 | Boston Red Sox +114 (Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees) Market's no-vig home win probability for the Yankees is 55.1%; I estimate the tr… | Spread | 2u | +109.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 6 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Under 8.5 (-115) Market implies approximately 46% probability of the game going under 8.5 (priced… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 6 | Baltimore Orioles -108 [FanDuel] No-vig market probability is exactly 50/50 for this game / I estimate Baltimore'… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 6 | Athletics -106 [FanDuel] No-vig market probability has Houston at 50.4% and Oakland at 49.6% — a near-per… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 6 | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Under 8.5 (-115) [FanDuel] Market no-vig Under probability is approximately 53.5% implied by -115 juice / I… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 6 | Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Over 9.5 (-122) [FanDuel] Market implies roughly 55% Under at FanDuel's -122 juice / I estimate true Over … | Total O | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 5 | San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (-105 MGM) Market implies Spurs cover at ~56.5% no-vig / I estimate 63-64% true probability… | Spread | 2u | -7.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| Jun 5 | Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers Under 7.5 (-120 FD) Market prices this total at roughly 54% implied probability of going under at Fa… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Jun 5 | Boston Red Sox +120 (FD) Market no-vig implies Yankees win at 57.2% / I estimate true Yankees win probabi… | Spread | 2u | +122.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 5 | Athletics -108 (DK) Market no-vig home probability for the Astros is exactly 50.0% — a true coin fli… | Spread | 1u | -112.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Jun 5 | Boston Red Sox +122 (Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees) Market implies Yankees win at 56.7% no-vig probability; I estimate 51% true win … | Spread | 2u | +124.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 5 | Cleveland Guardians/Texas Rangers Over 7.5 +100 (Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers) Market is offering Over 7.5 at +100 at FanDuel — identical structural anomaly to… | Total O | 1u | -95.0 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| Jun 5 | New York Knicks +190 (New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs) Market implies Spurs win at 66.9% no-vig probability; I estimate true Spurs win … | Spread | 1u | +191.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Jun 5 | Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.0 +100 (Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays) Market is offering the Under 8.0 at +100 (positive moneyline) at FanDuel — the i… | Total U | 2u | -84.0 pts | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 1 | Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+130 DK / +125 MGM) Market no-vig win probability for the Diamondbacks is 38.9% (derived from Dodger… | Spread | 2u | +3.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| Jun 1 | Detroit Tigers ML (+144 DK / +145 MGM) DraftKings and BetMGM price the Tigers at +144/+145 (implied probability ~40.9-4… | Spread | 1u | +1.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Jun 1 | Milwaukee Brewers ML (-146 FanDuel) FanDuel prices Brewers at -146 (no-vig implied win probability: 59.3% with vig, … | Spread | 1u | +14.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Jun 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Over 9.0 (-105 FD / -105 DK) Market implies roughly 50.5% probability the total exceeds 9.0 runs (after remov… | Total O | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 30 | Spurs ML (Spurs @ Thunder) Market implied OKC win probability in a Game 7 at home was likely ~58-62% no-vig… | Total U | 2u | +8.0 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 30 | Dodgers ML (Phillies @ Dodgers) Early Phillies @ Dodgers lines were likely set with Aaron Nola as Philadelphia's… | ML | 2u | -1 pts | LOSS | -2u |
| May 30 | Golden Knights ML (Avalanche @ Golden Knights) A team trailing 3-0 in an elimination game on the road, with its best player con… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 30 | Orioles ML (Blue Jays @ Orioles) If Dylan Cease is unable to start tonight due to his hamstring injury (exited Ma… | ML | 1u | +1 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 29 | Dodgers ML (market price — confirm before entry) No-vig line unavailable; directional edge estimated at 3–5 points. The Dodgers a… | ML | 1u | +2 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 29 | Cavaliers ML (market price — confirm before entry) No-vig line unavailable; directional edge estimated at 3–5 points. Mitchell Robi… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 29 | Guardians ML (market price — confirm before entry) No-vig line unavailable; directional edge estimated at 6+ points. Garrett Croche… | ML | 2u | +1 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 29 | Hurricanes ML (market price — confirm before entry) No-vig line unavailable; directional edge estimated at 6+ points. Mitchell Robin… | ML | 2u | +5 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 28 | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers Under 7.5 (-114) Market prices this total at a near-neutral Under (-114 to -120 across books), im… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 28 | Baltimore Orioles -126 (-126) Market no-vig implies Baltimore wins at 53.6%; if Dylan Cease is confirmed unava… | Spread | 1u | -127.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 28 | Atlanta Braves -138 (-138) Market implies Atlanta wins at 56.5% no-vig; I estimate their true win probabili… | Spread | 2u | -130.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 28 | San Antonio Spurs -152 (-152) Using the lower available Spurs ML of -152 (FanDuel/DraftKings), the no-vig impl… | Spread | 2u | -125.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 28 | Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox Under 7.0 (-114) Market's total of 7.0–7.5 is already compressed, but the no-vig implied probabil… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 28 | Atlanta Braves -138 (Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox) Market's no-vig home probability for Boston is 44.0%; my true probability estima… | Spread | 2u | -130.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 28 | Oklahoma City Thunder +136 (Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs) Market no-vig home probability for San Antonio is 59.4%; my true probability est… | Total U | 1u | +109.0 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 28 | Minnesota Twins +120 (Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox) Market no-vig home probability for Chicago is 56.5% (implied away probability 43… | Spread | 1u | +116.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 27 | Carolina Hurricanes -140 (Carolina Hurricanes @ Montréal Canadiens) Market no-vig probability for Carolina is 56.4% at FanDuel's -140 price; I estim… | Spread | 1u | -136.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 27 | Miami Marlins +136 (Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays) Market implies no-vig probability of ~40.6% for Miami; I estimate 50%+ true prob… | Spread | 2u | +135.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 27 | Minnesota Twins +105 (Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox) Market no-vig probability for Chicago is 52.9% (home favorite at -120 to -125); … | Spread | 1u | +92.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 27 | Atlanta Braves -118 (Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox) Market implies 54.6% no-vig probability for Atlanta; I estimate 61% true probabi… | Spread | 2u | -126.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 27 | Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox — Under 8.0 (-102) Market sets the total at 8.0 with the Under at -102 (near flat juice), implying … | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 27 | Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox — Braves ML (-118) Market implies Braves at ~54.1% no-vig (averaging across books near -118); I est… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 27 | Carolina Hurricanes @ Montréal Canadiens — Under 5.5 (-106) Market no-vig implies Under at ~51.4% (Over -114 / Under -106, no-vig ≈ 51.4% Un… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 27 | Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres — Phillies ML (-162) Market no-vig implies Phillies at ~59.3% (FanDuel -162 / Padres +136, no-vig ≈ 5… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 26 | Seattle Mariners -118 (Seattle Mariners @ Athletics) Market's no-vig probability for Seattle is 48.1% (no_vig_home_prob for Athletics… | Spread | 1u | -115.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 26 | Atlanta Braves -108 (Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox) Market's no-vig probability for Boston is exactly 50.0% (pick'em per games_today… | Spread | 1u | -107.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 26 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-110) (San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder) Market's no-vig probability for Thunder covering -5.5 is approximately 52% (stan… | Total U | 2u | +7.5 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 26 | Vegas Golden Knights -104 (Colorado Avalanche @ Vegas Golden Knights) Market's no-vig probability for Vegas is 48.9% — I estimate their true win proba… | Spread | 2u | -103.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 26 | Atlanta Braves -108 (Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox) Market no-vig probability on Atlanta is 49.6% (near pick'em); I estimate Atlanta… | Spread | 2u | -107.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 26 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-110) (San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder) Market no-vig probability of OKC covering -5.5 is approximately 50% at -110 juic… | Total U | 1u | +7.5 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 26 | Colorado Avalanche @ Vegas Golden Knights Under 6.5 (-120) [DraftKings/BetMGM line] Market no-vig probability on the Under 6.5 (at -120) is approximately 54.5%; I e… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 26 | Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians Under 7.5 (-102 to -105) Market no-vig probability on the Under 7.5 is approximately 51% implied at -105;… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates +102 (DraftKings) The no-vig market implies the Pirates win 47.4% of the time (Cubs 52.6%); I esti… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Seattle Mariners @ Athletics — Athletics -102 (DraftKings) The no-vig market implies the Athletics win 48.3% of the time (Mariners 51.7%); … | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 9.0 (-119) (DraftKings) The under at 9.0 is priced at -119, implying roughly 54% probability of going un… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays — Marlins +141 (DraftKings) The no-vig market implies Toronto wins 60.3% of the time (Marlins 39.7%); I esti… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 9.0 (-120) Market sets no-vig Under probability at ~54.5%; I estimate ~59%; edge ≈ 4.5 poin… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 (-108) Market no-vig Cavaliers win probability is 45.8%; converting to spread-cover pro… | Spread | 1u | -34.5 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 25 | Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians Under 8.5 (-122) Market no-vig Under 8.5 probability on FanDuel is ~54.9%; cross-book consensus (… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 25 | Carolina Hurricanes @ Montréal Canadiens Over 5.5 (-128) Market no-vig Over 5.5 probability on FanDuel/DraftKings is approximately 56.3%;… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 23 | St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Over 9.5 (-110) Market implies a roughly 52% chance this game stays under 9.5 (no-vig under ~50.… | Total O | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 23 | New York Knicks +110 Market no-vig probability implies Cleveland wins at ~54.7%, meaning New York is … | Spread | 1u | +123.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 23 | Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles Under 8.0 (-104) Market no-vig probability on the Under sits at approximately 49% (Under -104 to … | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 23 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers Over 9.0 (-105) Market no-vig probability on the under sits near 53% (Under -115 to -122 implies… | Total O | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 19 | Padres +132 (FanDuel) Market implies Padres win probability at ~41.4% no-vig; I estimate true probabil… | Spread | 2u | +131.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 19 | Blue Jays +120 (FanDuel) Market no-vig Yankees win probability is ~56.3%; if Max Fried is scratched or un… | Spread | 1u | +119.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 19 | Cubs +100 (FanDuel) Market no-vig Cubs win probability is ~48% per FanDuel; DraftKings prices the Cu… | Spread | 1u | +97.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 19 | Cavaliers +7.5 (-105) FanDuel Market no-vig home win probability for Knicks is ~69.6%; the line discrepancy be… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 19 | Texas Rangers @ Colorado Rockies Over 10.5 (-115) Market no-vig over probability at 10.5 is approximately 53.7% (implied by -115 p… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 19 | San Diego Padres +132 (Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres) Market no-vig home probability for San Diego is 41.4% with the Dodgers priced at… | Spread | 1u | +131.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 19 | Kansas City Royals +110 (Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals) Market implies KC win probability at 45.7% (no-vig) with Boston priced as -130 f… | Spread | 2u | +104.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 19 | New York Knicks -7.5 (-105) (Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks) Market no-vig home win probability for New York is 69.6%, and the spread market … | Spread | 2u | +3.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 18 | Kansas City Royals -108 (Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals) Market no-vig implied probability on Kansas City at home is 49.1%; I estimate tr… | Spread | 2u | -110.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 18 | Oklahoma City Thunder -245 (San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder) Market no-vig implied probability on OKC is 68.1%; I estimate true probability a… | Total U | 2u | -252.0 pts | LOSS | -2u |
| May 18 | Montréal Canadiens +102 (Montréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres) Market no-vig implied probability on Montreal is 47.4% (away) at +102; I estimat… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 18 | Texas Rangers/Colorado Rockies Over 10.0 (-107) Market implies roughly a coin flip on the Over at -107 (no-vig ~51.7%); I estima… | Total O | 1u | +3.0 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 18 | San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder — Spurs +6.5 (-110) Market implies Spurs cover at ~32% no-vig (Thunder -6.5); I estimate true cover … | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 18 | Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays — Under 7.5 (-110) Market sets the total at 7.5 with even -110 juice on both sides, implying a 50% … | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 18 | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals — Over 10.0 (-115) Market implies Over probability at ~48% no-vig at a total of 10.0; I estimate tr… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 18 | Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals -104 (moneyline) Market no-vig implies Royals win at 52%; I estimate true Royals win probability … | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 17 | Angels +120 (Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels) Market implies ~45% true win probability for the Angels (no-vig); I estimate ~52… | Spread | 2u | +111.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 17 | Blue Jays -130 (Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers) Market no-vig probability for Toronto is approximately 56.6% (implied by -130 to… | Spread | 1u | -127.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 17 | Nationals +111 (Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals) Market no-vig probability for the Nationals is approximately 48% (home team, nea… | Spread | 1u | +107.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 17 | Mets -113 (New York Yankees @ New York Mets) Market no-vig probability for the Mets is approximately 51.4% (near pick'em at -… | Spread | 2u | -112.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 17 | San Diego Padres +135 (moneyline) vs. Seattle Mariners Market no-vig probability on Mariners is ~59.2%; I estimate their true win proba… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 17 | Los Angeles Angels +120 (moneyline) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Market implies Dodgers win at ~59% no-vig; I estimate true Dodger win probabilit… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 17 | Cleveland Guardians -164 (moneyline) vs. Cincinnati Reds Market no-vig probability on Guardians is ~60.2%; I estimate true Guardians win … | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 17 | Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals Over 10.0 (-110) — FanDuel Market no-vig on FanDuel's 10.0 total implies roughly 50/50 on Over/Under; I est… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | Kansas City Royals +140 (MLB: Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees) Market implies Yankees win at ~61% no-vig; I estimate true probability closer to… | Spread | 2u | +138.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 16 | MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Under 9.5 (-102) Market sets the total at 9.5 with Under priced at -102, implying roughly a 50% p… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | Ottawa Senators +126 (NHL: Ottawa Senators @ Carolina Hurricanes) Market implies Hurricanes win at ~60% no-vig; I estimate true probability closer… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | Texas Rangers +125 (MLB: Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners) Market implies Mariners win at ~57% no-vig; I estimate true probability closer t… | Spread | 2u | +122.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 16 | MLB: Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox — Tigers Moneyline (-150 implied range) Market implies Red Sox win at ~46% no-vig probability (Tigers -129 to -176 range… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | MLB: Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners — Rangers Moneyline (+125) Market implies Mariners win at ~55% no-vig probability (SEA -130 to -150); I est… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | NHL: Ottawa Senators @ Carolina Hurricanes — Hurricanes Moneyline (-152) Market implies Hurricanes win at ~58% no-vig probability (CAR -148 to -152); I e… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 16 | MLB: Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros — Rangers Moneyline (+150 implied from Astros -190 to -215) Market implies Astros win at ~62-64% no-vig probability (Cardinals @ Astros line… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 15 | Timberwolves -6.5 (-110) Market implies ~72% Minnesota win probability at -6.5; I estimate 80-82% true pr… | Spread | 2u | -36.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 15 | Mets ML (-115 or better) Market implies ~46% Mets win probability at -115 to -120; I estimate 58-60% true… | Spread | 2u | -3.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 15 | Padres/Mariners Under 7.5 (-110) Market still implies roughly 50% under probability at a total that hasn't fully … | Total U | 1u | -108.0 pts | WIN | +1u |
| May 15 | Braves ML (-165 or better) Market implies ~62% Braves win probability at -165; I estimate 68-70% true proba… | Spread | 1u | +1.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 15 | Timberwolves ML (-560 capped — use spread instead if price is worse than -560) If Wembanyama is officially ruled OUT before tipoff, market no-vig home probabil… | Spread | 1u | -530.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 15 | Avalanche @ Wild Under 5.5 (-130) — fade the price, wait for Under 5 (+100) if available Market no-vig probability on Under 5.5 is approximately 56.5% at -130 juice; I e… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 15 | Atlanta Braves ML (price TBD — target -140 or better) Market has partially priced Crochet's IL stint (placed May 1, 14+ days ago) but … | Spread | 1u | -141.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 15 | Pistons +8.5 (-110) Market implies Cavaliers win by 8.5+ at ~74.7% no-vig probability; I estimate tr… | Spread | 2u | +29.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 14 | Anaheim Ducks ML (+155) Market implies 39% true probability for Ducks (no-vig ~39%); I estimate 48% give… | Spread | 2u | -4.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 14 | Seattle Mariners ML (+115) Market implies 46% true probability for Mariners (no-vig ~46% at +115); I estima… | Spread | 2u | +5.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 14 | Giants @ Dodgers Over 8.0 (-110) Market implies approximately 50% probability the game goes over 8.0 (standard -1… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 14 | Buffalo Sabres ML (-145 or better) Market implies 57% true probability for Sabres (no-vig ~57%); I estimate 63% giv… | Spread | 1u | -3.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 14 | Philadelphia Phillies ML (-135) Market implies ~57% win probability for Phillies at -135; I estimate 68% true wi… | Spread | 2u | +2.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 14 | San Francisco Giants ML (target: +145 to +160 range vs. Dodgers) Market implies roughly 38-40% Giants win probability at +150 ML; I estimate 47% … | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 14 | Phillies @ Red Sox Under (target: Under 9 or Under 9.5, current line TBD at -110) Market total for this game will likely open 8.5-9.5 given the teams' offensive p… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 14 | New York Knicks -5.5 (-115) Market sets Knicks at -5.5 implied ~57% cover probability; I estimate 65% true c… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Carolina Hurricanes ML (-150) Market implies ~60% win probability for Carolina (no-vig ~58%); I estimate true … | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Hurricanes @ Flyers Under 6.5 (-135, DraftKings) DraftKings has this total at 6.5 (-135 Under) while FanDuel sits at 5.5 (-138 Ov… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+105 to +115 estimated) Market opened Rangers as approximately -140 to -150 favorites with Eovaldi penci… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Philadelphia Phillies ML (-115 to -120 estimated) Market implies ~54% Phillies win probability at roughly pick-em to slight Philli… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Hurricanes ML (-150) Market no-vig implied probability on Hurricanes ML is approximately 59% (backing… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Cavaliers -8.5 (-110) Market implies Cavaliers cover at ~52.4% (no-vig); I estimate 61% true probabili… | Spread | 2u | -4.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 13 | Detroit Pistons Team Total Under 103.5 (approx -110, verify current number) Market team total for Pistons implies approximately 50% Under probability at -11… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 13 | Lakers/Thunder Under 207.5 (-115) Market no-vig total probability implies roughly 53% Under given the -115 price; … | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 11 | Mariners ML +110 Market implies Mariners win at ~47.6% (no-vig, +110 ML); I estimate Seattle's tr… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 11 | Thunder -3.5 (-110) Market implies Lakers cover at ~52% (no-vig); I estimate Thunder win by 5+ at 62… | Total U | 2u | +1.5 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 11 | Giants/Dodgers Under 8.5 (-115) Market implies the under hits at approximately 49% (priced at -115, roughly 53.5… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 11 | Cavaliers -6.5 (-110) Market implies Cavaliers cover at ~52% (standard -110 pricing); I estimate Cleve… | Spread | 2u | +2.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 11 | Detroit Pistons +8.5 (-110) Market implies Cavaliers cover ~57% (no-vig); I estimate true probability at 48%… | Spread | 2u | -0.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 11 | Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-105) Market implies Thunder cover ~53% at -5.5 (-105); I estimate true probability at… | Total U | 1u | -0.5 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| May 11 | San Francisco Giants ML (+210 to +220) Market no-vig implies Dodgers win ~72% (implied_home_prob 0.72, no_vig 0.69); I … | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 11 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Carolina Hurricanes Under 5.5 (+105) Market no-vig implies Under at approximately 48% (priced at +105/+112 range); I … | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 10 | Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 (-110) Market implies Knicks cover at ~61% (no-vig); I estimate 76ers cover at ~58%, ed… | Spread | 2u | -22.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 10 | Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8.5 (-110) Market is pricing this total at 8.5 with Blake Snell debuting off a shoulder IL … | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 10 | Montreal Canadiens ML (-145) Market's no-vig home probability for Montreal is 56.8%; I estimate true probabil… | Spread | 2u | +4.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 10 | San Antonio Spurs +10.5 (-110) (if Wembanyama confirmed active by 6 PM ET) Market implies Timberwolves cover at ~68% at -10.5; if Wembanyama clears concuss… | Spread | 1u | +5.5 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 10 | Tampa Bay Rays +130 (moneyline) Market implies Red Sox win ~61% / I estimate true probability closer to 52% / ed… | Spread | 1u | +133.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 10 | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (+160) Market implies Golden Knights cover the puck line ~38% / I estimate true probabi… | Spread | 1u | -2.5 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 10 | Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 (-115) Market implies Timberwolves win by ~10.5 / I estimate true spread is -14 to -16 … | Spread | 2u | -5.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 10 | Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 (-110) Market implies 76ers win this game ~33% / I estimate true probability closer to … | Spread | 2u | -24.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 9 | Hurricanes ML (-170) Market implies Hurricanes win at ~63% no-vig; I estimate true win probability at… | Spread | 1u | +1.0 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| May 9 | Braves/Dodgers Over 9.0 (-110) Market currently implies the over hits at roughly 50% at 9.0; I estimate true ov… | Total O | 2u | -96.4 pts | LOSS | -2u |
| May 9 | 76ers +6.5 (-110) Market implies 76ers cover at ~42% (no-vig); I estimate 58% true probability — e… | Spread | 2u | -23.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 9 | Tigers/Royals Over 8.0 (-110) Market opened this total at 7.5 and has moved to 8.0-8.5; I estimate true over p… | Total O | 1u | -93.6 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| May 9 | Atlanta Braves +1.5 Run Line (-130) or Braves ML (if priced near +145 or better) Market implies Dodgers cover -1.5 at approximately 57% no-vig probability (typic… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 9 | Tampa Bay Rays ML (target +130 or better) Market opened Red Sox around -160 (pre-Crochet IL), implying ~61.5% no-vig proba… | Spread | 2u | +133.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (-110) Market implies Cavaliers cover at ~52% no-vig; I estimate 64% true probability —… | Spread | 2u | -1.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 9 | Rays @ Red Sox Under 8.5 (-110) [if available at 8.5 or higher] Market total of 7.0–8.0 range with Crochet out seems like it should inflate (les… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 6 | Houston Astros ML (+115 approx) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Market implies Dodgers win probability of approximately 64-66% (no-vig ~63%) des… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 6 | Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (approx -110) vs. San Antonio Spurs Market has partially adjusted from Spurs -10.5 to approximately Spurs -3 to -5 r… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 6 | Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 (-105) Market implies Knicks win by 5.5+ at ~66% no-vig probability; I estimate true pr… | Spread | 2u | -0.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 6 | Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Under 7.5 (-110) Market implies a run environment of 7.5 with Crochet on IL — but pre-IL placemen… | Total U | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 5 | Detroit Tigers ML +117 (approximately) Market implies Tigers win probability at approximately 43-46% (no-vig); I estima… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 5 | Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche Over 5.5 (-115) [verify current total] Market implies approximately 47% probability the game goes over 5.5 goals (at -1… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 5 | Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 (-105) Market implies approximately 62% probability San Antonio covers -10.5; I estimat… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 5 | Cavaliers/Pistons Under 219.5 (-110) Market implies 50% probability the game goes over 219.5; I estimate true probabi… | Total U | 2u | -7.1 pts | WIN | +2u |
| May 4 | Timberwolves +10.5 (-105) Market implies Spurs win by 10.5+ at ~84% implied probability with Wembanyama st… | Spread | 2u | +12.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 4 | Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights Under 6.5 (-135) Market's no-vig Under probability is approximately 57-58% at -135 juice; my true… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 4 | Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 (-110) Market implies Knicks cover 12.5+ at approximately 62-65% of outcomes; my true e… | Spread | 1u | -26.5 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| May 4 | Detroit Tigers ML (+115) Market implies Red Sox win probability at ~58% (no-vig ~55.3%); my true estimate… | Spread | 2u | -1.0 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 3 | Houston Astros / Boston Red Sox Over 8.5 (est. -110) Market estimated total at 8.0-8.5 with Garrett Crochet — who is now on the 15-da… | Total O | 1u | -106.0 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| May 3 | Utah Mammoth / Vegas Golden Knights Over 6.5 (+114) — DraftKings ONLY Market is mispriced across books: FanDuel prices this Over at 5.5 (-142), BetMGM… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 3 | Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 (-110) Market implies Boston wins by 12+ at 88.9% no-vig probability; with Tatum OUT, I… | Spread | 2u | -26.5 ATS | LOSS | -2u |
| May 3 | Detroit Pistons -3.5 (est. -110) Market currently estimates Detroit at approximately -3 to -4 with Franz Wagner a… | Spread | 2u | +18.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 2 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars Under 5.5 (+110) Market implies ~48% probability the game goes under 5.5 (implied by +110 price),… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 2 | Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 (-105) Market implies Spurs win ~82% (no-vig ~0.815 per research), I estimate ~65% Spur… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| May 2 | Houston Astros ML (-115 or better) Market implies Red Sox win ~54% at home (typical Fenway home-dog pricing without… | Spread | 2u | +3.0 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 2 | Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 (-110) Market implies Celtics win ~85% (no-vig), I estimate ~68% — edge of ~9 points on… | Spread | 2u | +15.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 1 | Lakers/Rockets Under 207.5 (-115) Market implies over/under ~50/50 at 207.5; without KD (8-10 point Rockets offens… | Total U | 1u | +11.8 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| May 1 | Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 (-115) Market implies Spurs cover ~63.5% (no-vig at -10.5); Wembanyama in concussion pr… | Spread | 2u | — | Pending | — |
| May 1 | Lakers +5.5 (-115) Market implies Rockets cover ~64.5% (no-vig); with KD confirmed OUT, Rockets' of… | Spread | 2u | +25.5 ATS | WIN | +2u |
| May 1 | Houston Astros ML (+105) Market implies Red Sox win ~52.3% (no-vig); with Garrett Crochet on the 15-day I… | Spread | 1u | -2.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 29 | Lakers -4 vs Rockets (Game 3) Lakers are the right side as Reaves returns from a near-month-long oblique absen… | Spread | 1u | -10.0 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 29 | Yankees ML @ Rangers Langford MRI hanging over the Texas lineup creates a late-scratch fade opportuni… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 29 | Spurs +7.5 @ Trail Blazers (Game 3, 4/30) Classic overreaction spot — Wemby out moved the line from Portland -2 to -7/-8 i… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 29 | Spurs/Trail Blazers Under (Game 3, 4/30) With Wembanyama out, San Antonio loses its primary rim-pressure creator and offe… | Total U | 1u | +660.0 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 28 | Edmonton Oilers ML vs Ducks Draisaitl is back and effective, Oilers already won G1 with him on a short leash… | ML | 1u | +2 pts | WIN | +1u |
| Apr 28 | Spurs vs Trail Blazers G3 UNDER (hit early before public) If Wembanyama is ruled out of concussion protocol, the total drops 6+ points and… | Total U | 1u | +209.0 pts | Pending | — |
| Apr 28 | SGP: Yankees ML + Under team total Rangers (if Langford OUT) Langford MRI on right forearm is the key. If he's scratched, Rangers offense los… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 28 | 76ers +points @ Celtics (Game 3) Public is hammering Boston as home favorite off the 1-1 split, but Philly is the… | — | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 27 | Spurs +6.5 vs Trail Blazers (G3) Public will hammer Portland with Wembanyama in concussion protocol, pushing the … | Spread | 1u | +25.5 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Apr 27 | Thunder/Suns Under (G3 total) Suns facing 0-3 elimination scenario at home will play tighter, half-court, foul… | Total U | 1u | +232.0 pts | Pending | — |
| Apr 27 | Yankees ML @ Rangers Langford's forearm MRI uncertainty has already moved Yankees from underdog/picke… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 27 | SGP: Rockets +5.5 + Game Under (Rockets @ Lakers G3) If KD is upgraded to probable late, the line will sharpen toward Lakers and Rock… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 26 | Celtics +3 @ 76ers Boston is a textbook bounce-back team after playoff losses, and the market has o… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 26 | Rockets ML vs Lakers (G3, if KD upgraded to active by tip) Lakers up 2-0 with a hobbled KD storyline = max public pile-on. Game 3 home spot… | ML | 1u | +19 pts | WIN | +1u |
| Apr 26 | Mets team total OVER (next 1-2 starts, late-and-close spots) Edwin Diaz had elbow surgery Wednesday — out ~3 months. Books are historically s… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 26 | Spurs +4.5 @ Trail Blazers Public is overcorrecting on the Wembanyama concussion news, pushing Portland fro… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 24 | Kevin Durant UNDER points + UNDER minutes (Lakers @ Rockets G3) — if KD active If KD is pushed onto the floor with the sprained ankle, Houston won't run him 36… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 24 | Celtics +3.5 @ 76ers (Game 3) Fade the public overreaction to Philly's Game 2 narrative. Boston's offense had … | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 24 | Edmonton Oilers ML @ Ducks (Game 3) Public bought Anaheim after the G2 steal, but Edmonton has McDavid fully healthy… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 24 | San Antonio Spurs +7.5 @ Trail Blazers (Game 3) — ONLY if Wembanyama cleared Concussion protocol lines are the sharpest market inefficiency in the playoffs. … | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 22 | Magic +points & Game Under (Magic @ Pistons Game 2 SGP) Pistons will be bet heavily as a bounce-back favorite after the Game 1 upset, bu… | Total U | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 22 | Yankees ML @ Red Sox Sonny Gray exited Monday's game with right hamstring tightness, forcing Boston i… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 22 | Stars/Wild Game 3 Under 5.5 Dallas playing without top-line center Roope Hintz, who stayed in Texas, guts th… | Total U | 1u | +7.0 pts | Pending | — |
| Apr 22 | Ducks +1.5 @ Oilers Game 2 Public will pile onto Edmonton after the Draisaitl-return narrative and Kapanen'… | Spread | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 21 | Utah Mammoth +1.5 puck line vs Golden Knights (Game 2) Vegas is the consensus play — unbeaten in regulation under Tortorella and coming… | Spread | 1u | +2.5 ATS | WIN | +1u |
| Apr 21 | Dodgers @ Giants OVER 8.0 Edwin Diaz just had elbow surgery and is out 3 months, so the Dodgers bullpen is… | Total O | 1u | — | Pending | — |
| Apr 21 | Spurs -6.5 vs Trail Blazers (Game 2) Wembanyama dropped 35 in his playoff debut and Portland has no counter for him i… | Spread | 1u | -9.5 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 21 | Tampa Bay Lightning ML vs Canadiens (Game 2) Classic bounce-back spot. Cooper publicly ripped his team for 'stupidity' after … | ML | 1u | -2 pts | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 20 | Stars ML vs Wild (Game 2) Dallas lost Game 1 at home and is in a must-win spot for Game 2 — sharp money hi… | ML | 1u | +2 pts | WIN | +1u |
| Apr 20 | Phillies/Cubs Over Cubs lost closer Palencia to the 15-day IL with an oblique strain and ace Horton… | Total O | 1u | +9.0 pts | Pending | — |
| Apr 20 | Penguins +1.5 (Puckline) vs Flyers (Game 2) Pittsburgh is desperate at home after losing Game 1 on a rookie's late goal — cl… | Spread | 1u | -1.5 ATS | LOSS | -1u |
| Apr 20 | Cavaliers ML + Knicks ML + Oilers ML (3-leg parlay) Three heavy home favorites in Game 1/series openers — Cavaliers, Knicks, and Oil… | ML | 1u | — | Pending | — |
All picks are generated by AI and are for informational purposes only. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Units are a standardized tracking metric, not dollar amounts. ThetaWire does not facilitate gambling. Please bet responsibly.
